Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.054509 0.059158 0.063868 0.068989 0.074394 0.079921 0.085993
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.046101 0.052807 0.059850 0.067772 0.076408 0.085507 0.095794
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.039889 0.048025 0.056855 0.067088 0.078557 0.090953 0.105301
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.036698 0.046155 0.056715 0.069266 0.083660 0.099539 0.118266
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.033444 0.043851 0.055787 0.070308 0.087310 0.106412 0.129313
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030622 0.041764 0.054868 0.071153 0.090581 0.112764 0.139743
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027516 0.039055 0.052967 0.070622 0.092070 0.116937 0.147592
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025581 0.037623 0.052467 0.071649 0.095315 0.123112 0.157766
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023178 0.035398 0.050812 0.071106 0.096540 0.126802 0.164956
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021432 0.033892 0.049947 0.071443 0.098760 0.131638 0.173494
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020256 0.033058 0.049868 0.072711 0.102096 0.137811 0.183660
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019875 0.033278 0.051148 0.075720 0.107633 0.146721 0.197226
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017509 0.030577 0.048439 0.073469 0.106474 0.147393 0.200799
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015909 0.028869 0.046982 0.072794 0.107283 0.150490 0.207371
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014547 0.027413 0.045790 0.072402 0.108409 0.153963 0.214417
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014188 0.027458 0.046704 0.074885 0.113342 0.162320 0.227672
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013477 0.026900 0.046712 0.076089 0.116567 0.168504 0.238224
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012749 0.026262 0.046560 0.077039 0.119440 0.174241 0.248240
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011681 0.024989 0.045403 0.076510 0.120265 0.177294 0.254823
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011114 0.024510 0.045405 0.077614 0.123312 0.183262 0.265185
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.010185 0.023339 0.044289 0.077049 0.124020 0.186128 0.271533
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009541 0.022619 0.043830 0.077410 0.125993 0.190664 0.280065
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.009161 0.022342 0.044047 0.078755 0.129340 0.197040 0.291028